Gentrification's Ripple Effect: How Housing Shifts Impact Your Wallet and Where You Choose to Live
"Discover how localized housing price surges influence mobility, spending habits, and credit outcomes, especially for renters."
A growing body of research highlights the significant impact of housing price changes on homeowner spending and overall quality of life. Studies have found that for every dollar of increased housing wealth, homeowners tend to spend an additional 5-7 cents. However, less is known about how rising house prices—and therefore rental costs—affect renters, a group that doesn't directly benefit from increasing property values.
In many cities, the concerns around gentrification and the displacement of renters are growing. From January 2012 to January 2018, average rents in U.S. cities rose by more than 20%. Metropolitan areas like San Francisco, Seattle, and Boston saw even steeper increases, with average rents climbing by 40%, 40%, and 22%, respectively. Some neighborhoods experienced increases exceeding 50%.
This article dives into new research that examines how renters respond to localized housing price spikes, investigating the effects on their mobility, spending habits, and credit outcomes. Using credit report data from a large sample of U.S. individuals between 2004 and 2016, the study uncovers surprising differences in how renters react to these economic pressures, particularly between those who move and those who stay.
Mobility and Consumption: How Renters Respond to Price Shocks
The research reveals that when house prices surge in specific areas, renters react in diverse ways, challenging common assumptions about the negative impacts of gentrification. The study defines a "price shock" as a mean housing price increase of 25%, 30%, or even 50% over three years in a particular zip code.
- Stayers: Renters who remained in the same location experienced modest declines in consumption.
- Movers: Renters who moved in response to the price shock showed significant increases in consumption, and were more likely to purchase homes and cars.
The Upside of Moving: Reassessing Gentrification Concerns
Overall, the research suggests that the standard of living for renters in gentrifying areas doesn't necessarily decline and may even improve for those who choose to move. While the study doesn't directly address welfare and utility changes, it implies that concerns about gentrification and displacement should consider the potential for wage adjustments and the ability of renters to lower their living costs by moving.