A melting world map symbolizes the urgent threat of climate change.

Urgent Call: Can We Still Limit Global Warming to 1.5°C?

"Scientists warn we're running out of time to prevent catastrophic climate change. Discover the critical actions needed to stay below 1.5°C and protect our future."


The latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), released on October 8, delivers an urgent message: we have approximately twelve years to take decisive action, or we will face irreversible and catastrophic climate change.

This warning is based on two critical factors. First, the planet has already warmed by 1°C above pre-industrial levels, leading to significant adverse effects on communities, ecosystems, and livelihoods globally. Second, unless we drastically reduce greenhouse gas emissions within the next 12 years, we risk exceeding the 1.5°C warming limit set in the 2015 Paris Agreement, signed by 195 countries. Even this threshold may not prevent disaster for many vulnerable ecosystems and populations.

The IPCC report underscores the potentially catastrophic consequences of failing to meet the 1.5°C target. The science is clear: anthropogenic global warming is real, and its effects are already being felt worldwide.

Why Is 1.5°C Such a Critical Threshold?

A melting world map symbolizes the urgent threat of climate change.

The science of anthropogenic global warming and its effects have been previously explained. The IPCC's new synthesis of more than 6000 recent scientific papers highlights once again the many dangers posed by global warming, including extreme weather events, rising sea levels, destruction of coral reefs, loss of biodiversity, ocean acidification and deoxygenation, and extreme heat. Crucially, climate change is a "threat multiplier" that exacerbates and intensifies poverty, food insecurity, water stress, forced migration, and conflict between states and communities.

The report contrasts the effects of 1.5°C and 2°C warming. It predicts a difference of 10 cm in sea level and 10.4 million displaced people by 2100, and a difference of 190 million premature deaths and hundreds of millions of people forced into poverty by 2050. The IPCC also discusses what is required to limit warming to 1.5°C. Its conclusion is stark: we must reduce CO₂ emissions by at least 45% in the next 12 years compared with 2010 levels and achieve net zero CO₂ production by 2050. This is a tall order, requiring action on multiple fronts at all levels of society—both local and global.
  • Decarbonize Energy Systems: Transition to renewable energy sources to reduce reliance on fossil fuels.
  • Transform Transportation: Promote sustainable transportation options, such as electric vehicles and public transit.
  • Sustainable Agriculture: Adopt farming practices that reduce emissions and enhance carbon sequestration.
  • Reforestation: Implement large-scale reforestation projects to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.
Furthermore, despite the clear note of alarm in this report, it should be viewed as conservative and the result of political compromise. It does not acknowledge the possibility that plausible feedback loops may result in unpreventable, runaway global warming; nor does it mention the political obstacles caused by rising levels of anti-global nationalism and anti-science populism or the increasing prominence of climate change denialists in some governments, including the US and Australia. Only this month, President Trump questioned the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming and accused scientists of having a political agenda.

Taking Action: What Can We Do?

Although government action is crucial, so is civic action. In particular, doctors and other health professionals have a strong record of steering society to make difficult, unpopular, and at times expensive choices for the sake of public health and safety. This has historically included improved sanitation, housing, water treatment, and air quality and, in the 1980s, reducing the risks of nuclear war.

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