Electric car driving towards a sustainable future with solar panels and wind turbines.

Electricity vs. Oil: How the Renewable Revolution Will Power the Future

"Discover how the shift from oil to electricity, driven by electric vehicles and renewable energy, is reshaping the global energy landscape."


The idea of comparing oil and electricity might seem odd at first glance. They appear as distinct forms of energy, operating in separate spheres, save for a few instances where oil is still used to generate electricity, such as in Saudi Arabia. Initially, most people acknowledge oil's significant dominance in meeting global energy demands. Electricity currently accounts for less than 20% of final energy consumption worldwide, a figure dwarfed by oil's share.

However, oil's long-held supremacy is facing unprecedented challenges. While Big Oil remains a powerful industry player, its relative influence is diminishing. The once-steady growth in oil demand is faltering, while electricity demand is surging at an accelerated pace. This trend suggests that electricity's share of global energy consumption could equal or even surpass that of oil by 2040, if not sooner. In several countries, this transition is already underway. Consequently, some experts believe that oil's peak days are behind it.

This shift is driven by three key factors: the increasing competitiveness of electric vehicles (EVs) and electrified transportation, the global push to reduce carbon emissions through the adoption of renewable energy sources, and growing concerns among investors and insurance companies about the financial risks associated with climate change.

Why the Future Favors Electricity

Electric car driving towards a sustainable future with solar panels and wind turbines.

Several converging trends indicate a significant shift in the energy sector, with electricity poised to play a more dominant role. These trends are gaining momentum, irrespective of political viewpoints, and will not be significantly affected by fluctuations in oil prices. The future of energy is steadily moving towards electricity, increasingly generated from zero-carbon renewable resources.

One compelling sign is Saudi Arabia's Sovereign Wealth Fund's investment in Tesla, acquiring approximately 5% of the company. This move raises the question: Why would the world's largest oil exporter, whose economy is deeply rooted in oil, invest in an American EV manufacturer? The answer lies in recognizing the long-term potential of electric vehicles and the need to diversify investments.
  • Electric Vehicles (EVs): EVs are becoming increasingly competitive, reducing the demand for gasoline and diesel, which cuts into the most profitable segment of the oil industry.
  • Carbon Emissions Reduction: The global economy is shifting towards low-carbon energy resources, driven by the need to reduce carbon emissions. Renewables are becoming more abundant and cheaper.
  • Investor Concerns: Investors and insurance companies are starting to reduce their exposure to climate change risks, which negatively impacts businesses with a heavy carbon footprint.
Traditional auto companies like General Motors (GM) are also recognizing this shift. They have belatedly embraced EVs and autonomous EVs (AEVs). Over the past few years, GM, Ford, and others have invested heavily in ride-hailing businesses. For example, GM invested $500 million in Lyft, followed by $581 million in Cruise Automation. In May 2018, Soft Bank's Vision Fund announced a $2.25 billion investment in GM's AEV efforts. This interest in AEVs reflects a broader understanding that automakers are transitioning from simply selling cars to providing transportation-as-a-service.

The Rise of Renewables and the Future of Energy

These trends are collectively reshaping the energy landscape. While oil will continue to be used in various applications for years to come, losing a significant portion of the passenger vehicle transport market will diminish its overall importance. Conversely, electricity's role is expanding, driven by the increasing adoption of renewable energy sources. The future of energy is undoubtedly leaning towards electrification and sustainability.

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