Small business seedling growing into a large tree with regulatory support

Can Regulation Save the Junior Equity Market? Lessons from Canada's CPC Program

"Exploring how effective regulation can revitalize junior equity markets and foster small business growth."


The health of a nation's economy heavily depends on the existence of a vibrant junior equity market. However, in recent years, the number of initial public offerings (IPOs) in the United States, particularly those under US$50 million, has significantly decreased. This decline has made it harder for smaller companies to secure the necessary equity capital, which has slowed their growth and resulted in millions of lost jobs, according to a study by Weild and Kim (2009).

Several factors contribute to this downturn, including changes in market structure, excessive regulation, insufficient analyst coverage for junior companies, and a shift in the economy that has reduced the profitability of smaller firms (see Jegadeesh and Kim 2010; Weild and Kim 2010; Gao, Ritter, and Zhu 2013). Regardless of the cause, there is a growing consensus that the current U.S. regulatory environment is not conducive to financing for nascent companies.

The United States is not alone in facing challenges in the public financing of junior companies. Since the 1980s, European countries have struggled to develop thriving junior equity markets, with limited success. While these markets initially attracted new listings, they eventually suffered from illiquidity in both primary and secondary markets, as noted by Rasch (1994). These challenges underscore the need for effective regulatory frameworks that balance investor protection with the needs of growing companies.

How Canada's CPC Program Revitalized Its Junior Equity Market

Small business seedling growing into a large tree with regulatory support

To determine whether it's possible to develop a regulatory framework that can create or maintain a viable junior equity market, this study examines Canada's Capital Pool Company (CPC) program, a regulated blind pool program. Canada initiated this program in response to junior equity market fraud in a blind pool offering in 1986.

The CPC program initially served investors in Alberta but has since expanded across Canada and now attracts listings internationally. This study reveals that regulatory action in response to fraud has led to a thriving junior equity market in Canada. By 2010, 2,161 companies had utilized the CPC program, raising C$726.3 million in IPO capital.

  • Increased Completion Rates: More than 93.6% of CPCs complete their qualifying transaction (QT) and become regularly listed companies.
  • Long-Term Viability: 72.2% complete their QT and remain listed for five years following this transaction or are delisted due to amalgamation, takeover, or graduation to a more senior exchange.
  • Improved Underwriter Quality: An increasing percentage of higher-quality underwriters are willing to take CPCs public, especially since the program expanded to Canada's major provinces.
  • Reduced Fraud Incidence: The adoption of the CPC regulations significantly lowered the incidence of fraud in the Canadian junior equity market.
This proactive regulatory response has fostered a more robust and reliable market environment, attracting both companies and investors. These factors highlight how thoughtful regulation can transform a struggling market into a vibrant and trustworthy ecosystem.

Key Takeaways: Balancing Growth and Investor Protection

The success of the CPC program demonstrates that it is indeed possible to develop an effective regulatory regime for listing blind pool companies, which protects investors and enables small companies to raise capital and grow their businesses. Future studies should explore these methods to provide more insight into this increasingly important research area. It remains uncertain whether the CPC regulations can be adopted in other countries, but when the program was initially restricted to investors in Alberta, many experts questioned its broader applicability. Within 16 years, the program expanded across Canada and attracted international listings, illustrating its adaptability and success.

About this Article -

This article was crafted using a human-AI hybrid and collaborative approach. AI assisted our team with initial drafting, research insights, identifying key questions, and image generation. Our human editors guided topic selection, defined the angle, structured the content, ensured factual accuracy and relevance, refined the tone, and conducted thorough editing to deliver helpful, high-quality information.See our About page for more information.

This article is based on research published under:

DOI-LINK: 10.2469/faj.v70.n4.2, Alternate LINK

Title: Is Effective Junior Equity Market Regulation Possible?

Subject: Economics and Econometrics

Journal: Financial Analysts Journal

Publisher: Informa UK Limited

Authors: J. Ari Pandes, Michael J. Robinson

Published: 2014-07-01

Everything You Need To Know

1

What specific event prompted the creation of Canada's Capital Pool Company (CPC) program?

The Capital Pool Company (CPC) program was introduced in Canada as a direct response to junior equity market fraud that occurred in a blind pool offering in 1986. This proactive measure aimed to restore investor confidence and create a more secure environment for small companies to raise capital.

2

What were the key results observed after the implementation of Canada's Capital Pool Company (CPC) program?

The Capital Pool Company (CPC) program in Canada led to several positive outcomes: over 93% of CPCs successfully completed their qualifying transaction (QT) and became regularly listed companies, 72.2% remained listed for five years post-transaction, higher-quality underwriters increasingly participated in CPC IPOs, and the incidence of fraud significantly decreased in the Canadian junior equity market.

3

What broader implications can be drawn from the success of Canada's Capital Pool Company (CPC) program for other countries?

The success of the Capital Pool Company (CPC) program demonstrates the potential for effective regulation to balance investor protection with the capital-raising needs of small companies. While it is uncertain whether the CPC model can be directly adopted in other countries, its expansion from Alberta to across Canada and attraction of international listings suggest that with adaptation, similar regulatory approaches could revitalize junior equity markets globally.

4

What is the impact of the decline in smaller Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) on the economy?

Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) under US$50 million have significantly decreased, making it harder for smaller companies to secure necessary equity capital. Studies by Weild and Kim (2009) indicate this decline has slowed their growth and resulted in millions of lost jobs. Factors such as market structure changes, excessive regulation, and insufficient analyst coverage contribute to this challenging environment.

5

What are the broader implications of the decline in junior equity markets and smaller Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)?

The decline in junior equity markets and smaller Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) has several implications. Smaller companies struggle to access capital, which can slow their growth and reduce job creation. This situation underscores the need for effective regulatory frameworks that encourage investment in small businesses while protecting investors from fraud and market manipulation.

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