A child gazes at a distant, shrinking doctor's office, symbolizing reduced access to pediatric healthcare.

Are Australian Kids Seeing the Doctor Less? Unpacking the Trends in GP Visits

"A new study reveals shifts in general practice visits among Australian children, sparking questions about access to care and potential health implications."


For years, there's been a nagging question in Australian healthcare: are our kids seeing the doctor as often as they should? Concerns have risen about potential declines in general practitioner (GP) visits for children, but solid research has been lacking to truly understand these trends over the past decade.

Now, a new study has shed light on this critical issue. Researchers delved into the trends in GP visits using data from the Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) database, linked with information from the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children (LSAC). This comprehensive approach allowed them to track GP visit patterns in two distinct groups of children: infants (aged 0-1 years in 2004) and children (aged 4-5 years in 2004), providing a valuable picture of how healthcare usage has evolved.

The study analyzed GP visits claimed under specific MBS item numbers (1-51, 597, 599, 601, 602, 5000-5067, and 715) between March 1, 2002, and February 28, 2011. By examining these records, researchers were able to identify significant shifts in how often Australian children are visiting their GPs, raising important questions about access to primary care and its potential impact on child health.

AI Search Multiple angles on this topic

Evaluating Well-Child Care Visits

A 2018 case study examined real-life visits involving parents, children, and health professionals to improve understanding of factors affecting well-child care. Researchers used participant observations from a cross-sectional sample of 71 visits across three general practices and analysed them with a mixed-methods approach. Practice recruitment used a purposive approach, while analysis considered both the practice and individual GP visit as units of study.

Milestones in Child Health

The review "Milestones in the development of paediatrics and child health" explains that many major advances in child health originated from discoveries and innovations initially directed toward adult disease. It highlights selected developments and innovations relevant to children before the Archives of Disease in Childhood was inaugurated a century ago. Developmental milestones are also central to modern child-health practice, with CDC resources helping parents recognise typical development and helping healthcare providers discuss milestones during frequent well-child visits.

The Numbers Don't Lie: Declining GP Visits in Australian Children

A child gazes at a distant, shrinking doctor's office, symbolizing reduced access to pediatric healthcare.

The study revealed a concerning trend: a decrease in the average number of GP visits among young children. In the infant cohort, the mean number of visits plummeted from 7.6 in 2004-2005 to just 2.7 in 2010-2011. Interestingly, there was a brief increase in GP visits between 2003-2004 and 2004-2005, but the overall trajectory points downward.

Even after accounting for various demographic and health factors, the decline in GP visits remained significant, particularly between 2008-2009 and 2010-2011. This suggests that factors beyond basic demographics are influencing how often children are seeing their doctors.

  • A growing number of children are skipping annual GP visits.
  • The percentage of infants without any GP visits during the year increased from 19.8% to 25.9% between 2003-2004 and 2010-2011.
  • The increase was even more pronounced in the child cohort, where the percentage of children with no annual GP visits jumped from 11.4% to a staggering 32.7%.
AI Search Multiple angles on this topic

Emerging Models of Child Healthcare

A 2025 paper introduced a framework for systems of paediatric well-care visits. The authors suggest that such systems may improve attendance rates, increase service utilisation, and reduce healthcare expenditure. A 2024 cohort study separately compared prescribing, ordering, and downstream healthcare utilisation associated with paediatric primary-care telemedicine visits and in-person visits.

Why Visits May Be Missed

An Australian study explored GP-visit trends using linked Medicare Benefits Schedule data and the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children. It followed two cohorts: an infant cohort aged 0–1 years in 2004 and a child cohort aged 4–5 years in 2004, using the 2004–2010 biannual surveys. GP visits were extracted for specified MBS item numbers between 1 March 2002 and 28 February 2011, while other reports describe missed well-child visits and access problems as obstacles to preventive screening.

Virtual and In-Person Care

Research comparing virtual and in-person SafeCare delivery examined how home-visiting services changed during the pandemic. Nationally, 88% of home-visiting programs paused in-person visits, and approximately 2.3 million sessions were conducted virtually instead of face-to-face home visits. Well-child visits differ from general office visits because they are preventive appointments that may include screenings, immunisations, and other preventive measures.

The researchers also compared GP visit numbers between the two cohorts for the same age groups. This revealed that 3-4-year-old children in the infant cohort (observed in 2006-2007) had significantly fewer GP visits than children of the same age in the child cohort (observed in 2002-2003). Similar trends were seen for 5-6-year-olds, further highlighting a potential shift in healthcare utilization.

Why the Decline? Potential Implications and Future Considerations

This study highlights a concerning trend: fewer Australian children are visiting their GPs. While the reasons behind this decline require further investigation, it raises important questions about access to primary care, potential underutilization of healthcare services among vulnerable populations, and the long-term implications for child health. Further research and policy considerations are needed to ensure that all Australian children have access to the healthcare they need to thrive.

Children's GP use against population and service trends

  • 4Vulnerable children had lower relative access to GP services than non-vulnerable children in every observed year; in year 4 and year 5, their relative risks were 0.70 and 0.68, respectively.[1]

What the figures say about children's care

The consultation-share comparison suggests children’s use of GP services was not simply keeping pace with their share of the population. It describes service use, however, rather than establishing why that gap emerged.[2]

Lower relative access among vulnerable children points to differences in service use across social groups, not just changes in the overall average.[1]

Australian comparisons describe both a shrinking child share of GP consultations relative to population share and a decline in average GP attendance across the population.[2]

Other Australian reporting notes a fall in longer GP consultations for children even as the number of children increased, adding consultation length as a separate dimension of service use.[3]

What remains uncertain about access and measurement

  • Could differences in GP distribution between metropolitan, regional and rural areas change how well appointment-availability findings apply across Australia?[4]
  • How much can general-practice electronic records clarify patterns when independently developed systems limit interoperability and the production of meaningful statistical data?[5]

How to understand GP services

What roles do GP services play?

They include prevention, health maintenance and chronic disease management. Specialist, pathology and diagnostic-imaging services are secondary care and require referral from a primary-care provider.[1]

How are most Australian general-practice services paid for?

Most are paid through Medicare, Australia’s federally funded universal national health insurance scheme.[2]

What factors can shape whether people use health services?

A widely used health-behaviour model describes social structures, health beliefs and enabling resources, such as income or insurance, as factors that can shape service use.[2]

About this Article -

Written with AI assistance from published research, and reviewed by the Mystum team. See our About page for more information.

This article is based on research published under:

DOI-LINK: 10.5694/mja13.10105, Alternate LINK

Title: Trends In General Practice Services In Two Cohorts Of Australian Children Between 2003–2004 And 2010–2011

Subject: General Medicine

Journal: Medical Journal of Australia

Publisher: AMPCo

Authors: Lixin Ou, Jack Chen, Kenneth Hillman

Published: 2013-10-01

Everything You Need To Know

1

What were the main sources of information used to conduct this research on GP visits?

The study examined trends in General Practitioner (GP) visits among Australian children between 2003 and 2011. It used data from the Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) database, combined with information from the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children (LSAC). This allowed researchers to track GP visit patterns in two groups: infants (0-1 years old in 2004) and children (4-5 years old in 2004). Analyzing GP visits claimed under specific MBS item numbers (1-51, 597, 599, 601, 602, 5000-5067, and 715) helped identify shifts in how often children visited GPs.

2

What specific trends in GP visits were observed in Australian children?

The study revealed a concerning decline in GP visits among Australian children. For infants, the mean number of GP visits dropped from 7.6 in 2004-2005 to 2.7 in 2010-2011. The percentage of infants with no GP visits in a year rose from 19.8% to 25.9% between 2003-2004 and 2010-2011. The child cohort saw an increase in the percentage of children with no annual GP visits, from 11.4% to 32.7%. These statistics suggest that fewer children are receiving regular primary care.

3

What role did the Medicare Benefits Schedule and the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children play in the study?

The study used data from the Medicare Benefits Schedule (MBS) database, and the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children (LSAC). The MBS provided information on GP visits claimed, identified by specific item numbers. The LSAC provided additional context about the children, such as their demographics and health information. Linking these datasets allowed researchers to analyze GP visit patterns and identify trends within different cohorts of children.

4

What are the potential implications of fewer children visiting their General Practitioner (GP)?

The decline in General Practitioner (GP) visits among Australian children raises several potential implications. Fewer visits could lead to delayed diagnoses and treatment of health issues. Underutilization of healthcare services, especially among vulnerable populations, is a concern. The study highlights the need for further investigation into the reasons behind this decline and for policy considerations to ensure all children have access to necessary healthcare, which is crucial for their overall well-being.

5

How did the study compare GP visit patterns between different groups of children?

The study's findings highlight a potential shift in healthcare utilization among Australian children. Researchers compared GP visit numbers between the infant and child cohorts for the same age groups. Children in the infant cohort (observed in 2006-2007) had fewer GP visits than children of the same age in the child cohort (observed in 2002-2003). This shift suggests that factors, possibly those beyond basic demographics, may be influencing how often children are seeing their doctors, emphasizing the need for further research into the underlying causes and implications of this trend.

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